Crude oil stocks
A larger-than-expected draw can imply a tighter crude balance; an unexpected build can imply looser near-term supply.
US economic report · Energy
Crude oil, gasoline, distillates and market reaction
A permanent release record for the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, pairing all three headline inventory changes with consensus and the first five minutes of petroleum-market price action.
Release summary
Crude oil: +2.011M bbl vs −1.950M bbl expected; Gasoline: +0.765M bbl vs −1.905M bbl expected; Distillate: +1.396M bbl vs +0.825M bbl expected. A larger draw or smaller build is generally tighter for the petroleum balance. This is historical context, not a trading signal.
Latest figures
Positive values are inventory builds; negative values are draws. Figures are displayed in million barrels.
| Measure | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude oil inventories | +2.011M bbl | −1.950M bbl | −1.692M bbl | +3.961M bbl |
| Gasoline inventories | +0.765M bbl | −1.905M bbl | −1.533M bbl | +2.670M bbl |
| Distillate inventories | +1.396M bbl | +0.825M bbl | +4.556M bbl | +0.571M bbl |
Recorded market reaction
The chart plots 363 stored bid ticks for WTI. Moves use the last bid before 14:30 UTC as baseline and do not represent an executable fill.
Instrument coverage
WTI and Brent record the U.S. and global crude response; gasoil adds refined-product context. No separate gasoline series is shown because that instrument is not present in the stored tick archive.
Three-release record
Each record preserves all three reported inventory changes, consensus and the observed five-minute reaction.
Crude oil inventories: a 2.011M bbl build; Gasoline inventories: a 0.765M bbl build; Distillate inventories: a 1.396M bbl build. Direction treats a larger draw or smaller build as tighter than consensus.
| Measure | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude oil inventories | +2.011M bbl | −1.950M bbl | −1.692M bbl |
| Gasoline inventories | +0.765M bbl | −1.905M bbl | −1.533M bbl |
| Distillate inventories | +1.396M bbl | +0.825M bbl | +4.556M bbl |
| Market | 5 sec | 30 sec | 1 min | 5 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI | -0.069% | -0.060% | -0.134% | -0.048% |
| XBRUSD | -0.072% | -0.083% | -0.175% | -0.058% |
| GASOIL-C | -0.095% | -0.059% | -0.278% | -0.182% |
Crude oil inventories: a 1.692M bbl draw; Gasoline inventories: a 1.533M bbl draw; Distillate inventories: a 4.556M bbl build. Direction treats a larger draw or smaller build as tighter than consensus.
| Measure | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude oil inventories | −1.692M bbl | −1.824M bbl | +2.998M bbl |
| Gasoline inventories | −1.533M bbl | −2.000M bbl | −1.904M bbl |
| Distillate inventories | +4.556M bbl | −2.000M bbl | −4.980M bbl |
| Market | 5 sec | 30 sec | 1 min | 5 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI | -0.091% | -0.078% | -0.097% | -0.242% |
| XBRUSD | -0.083% | -0.073% | -0.085% | -0.304% |
| GASOIL-C | -0.477% | -0.368% | -0.305% | -0.132% |
Crude oil inventories: a 2.998M bbl build; Gasoline inventories: a 1.904M bbl draw; Distillate inventories: a 4.980M bbl draw. Direction treats a larger draw or smaller build as tighter than consensus.
| Measure | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude oil inventories | +2.998M bbl | −1.900M bbl | −3.775M bbl |
| Gasoline inventories | −1.904M bbl | −1.722M bbl | −2.333M bbl |
| Distillate inventories | −4.980M bbl | +1.050M bbl | +2.483M bbl |
| Market | 5 sec | 30 sec | 1 min | 5 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI | +0.066% | -0.073% | +0.013% | +0.139% |
| XBRUSD | +0.113% | -0.056% | +0.025% | +0.075% |
| GASOIL-C | +0.220% | +0.364% | +0.437% | +0.749% |
The public archive is intentionally limited to the latest three release events.
Market context
The weekly package helps markets reassess crude supply, refinery demand and end-product consumption. The mix matters: crude, gasoline and distillates can point in different directions even when the headline move looks clear.
A larger-than-expected draw can imply a tighter crude balance; an unexpected build can imply looser near-term supply.
Motor gasoline inventories add information about refinery output and seasonal road-fuel demand, especially during the U.S. driving season.
Diesel and heating-oil stocks connect the package to freight, industrial activity, exports and winter heating demand.
Refinery runs, imports, exports and product supplied can explain why the three inventory lines diverge and whether the surprise may persist.
Consensus forecasts are not EIA estimates. Strategic Petroleum Reserve flows, Cushing stocks, refinery utilization, imports, exports and seasonal effects can matter more than one headline after the initial reaction.
Indicator guide
The Weekly Petroleum Status Report provides timely information on U.S. petroleum supply, inventories and selected prices for the week ending the preceding Friday.
Methodology
The release table preserves the actual, consensus and previous values stored with each calendar record. A snapshot is generated only after all three actual and forecast values are available and the release has settled.
The latest chart plots every stored bid tick from 30 seconds before publication through the selected horizon. Reaction percentages use the last bid before release as baseline. Timestamps are UTC; moves do not establish an executable fill, spread, slippage or profitability.
News trading context
ToxicTraders connects scheduled macro releases, actual-versus-forecast evaluation, configured strategy logic, execution connections and post-trade review. This research page records historical reactions; the platform is where traders configure their own workflow.
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